Box Office Predictions For August 9-August 12

Throughout this summer, we’ve seen some excellent numbers coming out of the box office. Mission Impossible: Fallout brought in well above expectations, currently beating out the previous installment thus far. It was announced a few days ago the Black Panther just passed the $700 million in domestic, and Incredibles 2 joining the $1 billion club. This brings us to a new segment simply predicting the top five films weekend box office numbers. Without further ado, let’s get started!

According to Box Office Mojo, last week’s top five consisted of the following:

  1. Mission Impossible: Fallout – $35,323,815
  2. Disney’s Christopher Robin – $24,585.139
  3. The Spy Who Dumped Me – $12,103,043
  4. Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again – $9,003,030
  5. The Equalizer 2 – $8,755,907

These numbers were quite impressive considering Fallout is still holding the number 1 slot while it seems that Christopher Robin underperformed. As for the other 3 films, those hit in the ballpark on where I was predicting the previous week. Only 2 of the 3 are a new release from last week but with The Meg around the corner, it’ll be an interesting week.

1. Mission Impossible: Fallout – $25 Million


The reason Fallout will come in at the top is because of two reasons. For one, the percentage drop after it’s opening weekend was around the expected range, therefore I only see it dropping about 29% from last week’s 42.3%. The other reason this film will stay in this range is due to the lack of competition. Sure, you have The Meg coming out, but if it sticks to the same formula and pattern as previous shark films, Fallout may remain in the lead.

2. The Meg – $21 Million


Although I am excited about this movie, I don’t see it making that much. It’s projected to make around $23-24 million, but it’s hard not to think about some previous shark movies such as The Shallows opening at $16.8 million and 47 Meters Down coming in at $11.2 million opening weekend. Personally, I love shark movies, therefore I wouldn’t be surprised if it made above $21 million, however, I don’t think it’ll beat out Fallout if that film makes $25 million.

3. Disney’s Christopher Robin – $14 Million


Not having seen the movie yet, I have heard that the newest Disney reboot is quite charming. That being said, there have been reviews stating that the film has some narrative issues. This could very well be why it didn’t crack above $30 million, however, I do think it’ll have a normal percentage drop considering it’s one of the few family films out right now.

4. Slender Man – $13.5 Million


The only reason I place this film in the fourth spot is that it’s a horror flick. Say what you will about horror films, but these types of movies make money very quickly; whether they have a good weekend or not. Granted that if the film has good word of mouth, it could even take the third spot this weekend. I personally don’t know anything about the film as I try to stay away from most trailers and marketing material until I see the film. This is to give me the best viewing experience possible. It’s also important to note that horror films have been doing good recently but it’s all down to if the movie is receiving good responses. The only way I see this film having trouble is Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman.

5. BlacKkKlansman – $13 Million


I believe there will be a close tie between Slender Man and BlacKkKlansman. There are interesting arguments to be made whether one should take the number four slot. BlacKkKlansman is opening to over 1,500 locations but has received the Grand Prize of the Jury award at Cannes Film Festival, which has had people giving it some praise. As with Slender Man, it’s opening to about 2,300 locations which does potentially give it some legs to stay in the top five for a week or two.

Do you agree with this list? What are your predictions for the top five this weekend? Do you think ‘Slender Man’ will have what it takes to stand as a well-received horror flick? Sound off below!

Sources: Box Office Mojo

Photos Courtesy of: Think With Google, Deadline, Ballinnn, Comic Book, CBS 58,


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